Season 5 · Episode notes
ep. 505 - Is Reality Really Real? And Part 1 with Noah Healy
Last week I talked about coincidence and ended with the thought that the interconnectedness of all these things puts reality under a microscope. This week we look at the not-so-crazy idea that we live in a simulation or at the very least a synthetic universe.
Contact the show at: podcast@primitiveintelligence.com
Show Links:
Are We Living In A Simulation? Can We Break Out Of It? (Forbes) https://www.forbes.com/sites/calumchace/2022/11/16/are-we-living-in-a-simulation-can-we-break-out-of-it/?sh=5e0f14a16792
Allegory of the cave (WikiPedia): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allegory_of_the_cave
Professor James Gates, MIT computer code in string theory:
https://www.livetray.com/computer-codes-found-in-string-theory-what-does-it-tell-us/
https://onbeing.org/blog/symbols-of-power-adinkras-and-the-nature-of-reality/
The Fermi Paradox (SETI): https://www.seti.org/fermi-paradox-0
Drake Equation (SETI): https://www.seti.org/drake-equation-index
Observing The Universe Really Does Change The Outcome, And This Experiment Shows How (Forbes): https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2020/05/26/observing-the-universe-really-does-change-the-outcome-and-this-experiment-shows-how/?sh=47b0bf5267af
—---------------------------------
This week's guest is Noah Healy:
Noah Healy is a market designer and game theorist working on better economic systems. After training in nuclear engineering he worked for tech startups at the peak of the dot com boom. Becoming fascinated by the mathematics of information and computation led to patent work on a better commodity market design.
Contact: noahphealy@yahoo.com
Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/noah-healy/
Website: http://coordisc.com/
Video explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v8aOEcDV7MA
Short video: http://coordisc.com/video-explanation/
The 4th Age Podcast: https://substack.com/profile/86771863-the-4th-age
—-----------------------------------
Music:
Track: "Landfill", Shryne
Music provided by https://Slip.stream
Free Download/Stream: https://get.slip.stream/AfpT1R
Read the transcript
You are listening to the
Primitive Intelligence podcast
episode 505 Is reality really
Real?
And part one of my interview
with Noah Healey.
This is an extended episode.
I hope your phone is charged.
I I hope your earbuds are
charged.
Get comfortable.
It's you're going to be here for
a while.
Last episode I teased are we
living in the simulation?
We're going to talk about the
idea.
We're going to get to it.
I I know the last time I teased
an episode in advance, I left
you hanging, Jason.
Not this time.
We're going to get in the
simulation theory, so we're
going to get into the idea.
Is it just Hollywood mumbo
jumbo?
Some of my own thoughts on it
and a surprising lack of
answers.
Also, later on in the episode,
part one of my interview with
Noah Healey.
He's a market designer and game
theorist background in nuclear
engineering.
He worked for
techstartupstoringthe.com.
Boom.
He's the founder of Core Disk
and he has a podcast of his own
called The 4th Age which deals
mostly with a I.
This was a really long interview
I had with with Noah.
It was almost an hour and a
half.
We talked, so I split this in
half.
This week we're going to talk
about the simulation theory and
some of his ideas about it.
And then next week we're going
to do the his business and what
he does and what he does is
absolutely mindblowing.
Also going to talk about how
coincidence plays a role in this
episode.
Finally, some podcast
housekeeping before we get into
the main episode.
At the beginning of this season,
I talked about how I want to
expand the the topics and I want
to get guests and I I really
want to build a better podcast.
Yes, it's true.
This is my podcast.
This is my passion project.
It's my, it's my little pet.
I love primitive intelligence.
But at the end of the day, these
these episodes are for you.
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primitiveintelligence.com.
My e-mail address is back.
The last holdout from my debacle
last season of trying to get
everything off that stupid
server.
The e-mail address has been
locked down.
I've been giving you guys a
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I finally got it straightened
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I'm able to get in podcast at
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You can shoot me an e-mail
because I want to expand topics.
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that I have set up an account
with a service called Matchmaker
FM and it sounds like a singles
website, but it's not.
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for podcast host and guests and
allows you to research each
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connect.
And I think it's awesome.
It's a great platform.
I've got some ideas, I've got
some people that I I've
researched, I've looked into.
A couple of them are authors, so
I'm getting your books, so I'm
going to read up.
I don't want to contact them and
be like, hey, I don't know what
you do want to be on my show,
and we're going to see why I
don't want to do that.
We'll talk about that in a few
minutes, but for right now,
that's enough jabbering.
Episode 505 at the Primitive
Intelligence podcast is reality
real and the first half of my
interview with Noah Healy starts
episode.
I've got coffee today, no water,
so tie in from last week.
This is where coincidence plays
its part.
Here I talked about coincidence
and frequency of occurrence
depending on my acknowledgement
of those instances, at least in
my experience.
So I recorded episode 504 on
Tuesday.
I'd like to record late, so
before I start recording, I went
in and set up my account with
Matchmaker FM.
I record 504.
I edit 504.
I don't go to bed until about
3:00 AM.
Well, I kind of pass out at
about 3:00 AM I get up in the
morning because I do this as a
video and audio.
I have to let that video render,
so that takes some time to let
that happen overnight.
So I come downstairs and I check
the computer and make sure that
everything rendered properly and
I see I have a message.
Now, I received a few when I
first signed up and this was a
new message from someone new and
it was Noah Healy.
And if you would only put an
e-mail about his work with
financial systems, I probably
would have been like not not for
me, thank you very much.
And it would have moved on.
But I wake up that morning with
coincidences running through my
head because I just done an
episode on it the night before.
And in this e-mail, first thing
that catches my mind is he says
coincidentally, he's talking
about the the processes he uses
in his programming.
And one of them, he says
coincidentally is called Fair
Games.
And he's like, that's the name
of your season.
I'm like, Fair game is the name
of my season Andy used
coincidentally.
And what am I getting ready to
do?
Simulation theory.
He's into programming and game
theory and mathematics and
algorithms who bear talked to
about the possibility of reality
being a simulation than this
guy.
So I e-mail back and I say,
listen, yeah, your financial
stuff, way out of my ballpark.
But I'm willing to do that if
you're willing to talk about
simulation theory.
And I in the back of my mind, I
kind of thought, this guy's
going to be like, I don't have
time for that.
But he emailed me back and he's
like, yeah, I'm in.
I'm paraphrasing because, yeah,
I'm in.
So we set it up.
And I mean, he's been working on
this stuff for over 25 years.
I had less than 24 hours to
prepare.
That's nowhere near enough time
I had to start doing serious
research, like really pulling
information and getting my notes
and everything together for this
episode yet.
And then I had to kind of
research him what he does and
try to make it coherent.
Yes, since he's actually my
first real guest on the show.
I mean, I've had, I did.
I cohost it with Rocco when I
first began.
We did like the interview with
the Devil stuff back in season
one and two.
Spoiler alert, that's just me
with some effects on my voice.
And then a couple of episodes
ago I did the A I interview with
chat GTP Little bit different
having actual real guest in, but
this is the growth of the
podcast I want to do.
Well, that was an
acknowledgement of itself, of
coincidence and how it can play
a part in everything we do
sometimes.
And it just made me think about
Simulation theory even more So
what is simulation theory Is it
is just Hollywood mumbo jumbo?
Is it just the Matrix?
This all come up because of the
Matrix and how people say things
like glitch in the Matrix.
And if there's a Mandela effect,
it's a glitch in Matrix.
You see these videos of people
on YouTube with the birds stuck
in the air and they look like
they're flying.
Oh, it's a glitch in Matrix.
We live in the simulation.
It must be the Matrix.
It did this all just come about
because of a movie?
No, you'd be surprised.
It goes back further than that.
A lot further than you'd think.
Greek philosopher Plato, of all
people.
In his work Republic, he talks
about the allegory of The Cave,
sometimes known as Plato's Cave
now, and basically there's
prisoners and they've been
chained up their entire lives.
All they can see is a blank wall
in front of them with their
shadows casting on it because
there's a fire behind them and
the light caster shadows on the
wall.
That's the only thing they know.
To them that is reality, and the
only way that they can know
anything other than that is to
escape the prison.
Otherwise, reality is a shadows
on a wall.
Simulation theory is similar in
that we don't really know.
All we can see are the shadows
on the wall.
Back in 2003, Swedish
philosopher Nick Bostrom wrote a
paper called Are We Living in a
Computer Simulation?
And in this paper he put forward
the idea that one of three
statements must be true.
The first statement is all
technological civilizations
collapse or go extinct before
reaching A technological
maturity from which they could
create simulations like our
reality statement #2.
Some technological civilizations
reach a level of development at
which they are able to create
such a simulation, but for some
reason choose not to.
The third statement we are
living in a computer simulation
already.
One of those three must be true.
To put that in a nutshell, as
far as simulation simulated
realities go, either A it never
happens, B it happens sometimes,
or C it's happening right now.
That also means that there must
be a base reality somewhere that
is real that's not simulated.
There are some people who
believe that the odds of us
being in that base reality are
extremely low.
One of those people's Elon Musk.
So maybe because it seems like
an exciting thing to say, but he
says that there's like one in
billions chance that we're in
that base reality.
Some people who think we're in a
simulation are trying to figure
out ways of escaping the
simulation.
Is that even possible?
If we are in a simulation, is it
possible to exist outside of it?
Could we escape a simulation?
If you think a simulation is
like a video game, you know, Can
you imagine Mario jumping out of
a video game and running away it
it just wouldn't work.
So I that I don't know.
I don't know how we would do
that.
That kind of assumes that the
computational power or even the
computational processes, what
makes the reality, what makes
the simulation, but it's being
based on what we know, the
physics we know and things like
that.
And I think that's pretty
unlikely that if something was
that if something was capable of
creating a simulation this
complex that it would be based
off of our technology.
They may be wondering, okay,
this is a great theory, but is
there any proof that we do live
in the simulation?
Let me run some ideas past you.
So the first one, it's based off
of another argument I use with
some people kind of to piss them
off.
But when people say there's no
possibility of alien life, and
then they say, well, we're
created by God, we're put here
by God, and we are it.
We're the the ultimate, we're
the favorites.
It goes no further than us.
The argument I always use is,
well, if you don't believe in
extraterrestrial life and God
put us on this planet and God
made the planet, then God can't
be from the planet.
They can't be from Earth.
So by definition, God would be
an extraterrestrial.
And it I mean it more as an
exercise to get them to think
about it.
It usually just makes them mad.
But if we take that same concept
and we say that if God put us on
this planet, and God created the
planet and the seas and the
skies and the stars and the
universe, then the universe is
not a naturally occurring
construct.
It was created.
It is artificial.
We live in the simulation.
Let me know how you feel about
that one then a little more
Modern professor Jane Gates from
MIT claims to have found
computer code in string theory
by examining the equations used
to define string theory itself,
and that they are similar and
sometimes exactly the same as
what are known as Shannon codes.
Now, Shannon codes are used in
error correcting and data
compression.
If you've ever downloaded a
piece of software and you get
that checksum, that's Shannon
code.
Now I I brought this up to Noah
to see what he what he thought
of this, and he hadn't heard of
this.
But he reminded me of something
that I kind of knew, and I kind
of forgot that there's a lot of
problems with string theory, and
string theory is based on
multiple dimensions, and those
dimensions get so complex that
there's so much room for
possibility that you could plug
almost any equation in and it
would work.
Noah explains this a lot better
later, but so is that what's
happening here?
I'm not sure if Gates is looking
at the equation itself as a
mathematical equation and just
that, or if he's looking at the
output of the equation and he
from what I can tell he's using
he's he's doing something to
view the equations as images and
that's where he's seeing this
computer code now.
Also, this guy is his main field
of study is supersymmetry, which
I couldn't even explain to you
right now.
This guy, he's he's not an
idiot, so it's not like he just
like looked at a bowl of
Cheerios and so I see codes, you
know this guy knows what he's
talking about.
All these links will be in the
in the show notes.
So look at some of the stuff for
yourself and make a decision it
it could be he's seeing what
something that looks like one
thing because it's string theory
and that happens or he's
actually seeing code in these
equations that's just mind
boggling that there's and I'm
not talking about in the numbers
like in the equation, but as you
break down the equations, the
deeper you get, there's zeros
and ones, there's binary code in
there that's crazy.
The next thing that could prove
that we're in a simulation is
kind of a double Decker here.
The Fermi Paradox.
For the Fermi Paradox, you just
have to look at what's known as
the Drake Equation.
The Drake equation estimates
civilizations in the Milky Way
that are capable of
communicating with us, or that
would leave enough of an imprint
that we would see that they were
there.
The Drake Equation has a pretty
big margin of error.
On a real quick look, I saw
anywhere between 1100 million
civilizations, just in the Milky
Way alone.
That's still a lot of
civilizations, just in our
Galaxy.
So the Fermi Paradox is if this
is true and there's all these
civilizations around, over the
course of the lifespan of the
universe as we know it, we
should see some evidence of
these other civilizations.
And we don't.
Of course, if we go back a
couple episodes to the UAP
episode, maybe we do, but we're
not seeing it out in space.
As far as we know.
We're not seeing evidence of
civilizations coming from other
stars.
So is it?
It kind of would make it more
probable that we are in a
simulation because we're not
seeing what we're expecting to
see.
And then the last part I'm going
to bring up about proof that we
live in a simulation is the fact
that simply observing the
universe changes the nature of
the universe.
And you may remember this from
school when you're a kid doing
the the light experiment that
shows that light is also that
you know acts as particles as
well as a wave.
And this kind of boils down to
quantum physics and how crazy
this all is.
But there's scientists who have
done this with electrons.
They single fired single
electrons through a double slit
experiment and even with as
small as electrons are they
should act as particles.
But what they find is they act
as a wave.
So when they first did this,
they thought there's got to be
something interfering with the
experiment.
So they put a sensor in to watch
the electrons go through the
slits.
As soon as they turn the sensor
on, the electrons begin to act
as particles.
Turn the sensor off, they act as
a wave, turn the sensor on, they
act as particles.
Even in the middle of the
stream, they will change.
The electrons are reacting to
the fact that you're being
observed.
This is quantum physics.
Quantum physics will blow your
mind.
I know enough about it to be
confused, but that right there
opens a lot of really crazy
possibilities.
There's a lot of other things
about quantum physics that are
weird.
Again, the links to this stuff
will be I'm not making this up.
The links to this will be down
to the bottom.
How do electrons know that
they're being observed and why
would they change their state?
So I'm going to speculate.
I'm going to have a little fun
with this.
This is for entertainment, after
all.
If we live in the simulation,
how is it run?
Is it a projection?
Shadows on a wall like a
hologram?
Is it like VR?
Is our consciousness viewing
reality like it's playing a
video game, wearing a headset
and this is kind of peering in?
Are our bodies just avatars
having basic functions, Kind of
animalistic functions, but
controlled by a, you know, air
quotes, installed consciousness,
a higher consciousness.
There is a train of thought and
I I follow this train of
thought, I've thought this for
probably 30 years, that the
brain is not the generator of
consciousness, it is a receiver,
meaning that our consciousness
comes from somewhere else.
You know, how do we lose
control?
How do we, like ye have a
temper?
If we're logical beings and our
consciousness knows we should
not be angry, and we know, like
don't get mad at that, but we
still do.
It's like a like an instinct,
like an animalistic act, and we
have to calm ourselves down or
we lose control.
How is that possible if the
consciousness is part of the the
body?
I think it was in season one.
I was kind of joking, yeah.
But I made the statement and it
kind of makes sense a little bit
when you think of it this way.
And what I said was, how does
the brain, the thing that's
thinking the thought, not know
how the thought is Thunk, can
you answer that?
How do we not know how we work?
That is a question I've had
since I was a kid.
If you look at things like past
lives, reincarnation, ESP,
dreams out of body experiences,
these things make a lot more
sense if consciousness is coming
from somewhere else and not
being generated by the brain.
And I say this because it look
at the out of body experiences,
there are enough reports that
are consistent enough to believe
that OB e's there's something to
them.
But if the if our consciousness
needs the brain is generated
from the brain, how does it get
outside the brain?
You know how's it get?
How's it How do we leave our
bodies?
How do people do?
How do kids have, like, infants
barely old enough to talk?
They have memories of past
lives.
If consciousness isn't generated
by the brain, that makes more
sense.
And if it's not generated by the
brain that's coming from
somewhere else, does that mean
that we're just non player
characters that wind up getting
chosen to, you know?
Should be played in the
simulation.
Is that possible?
If matter itself is intelligent,
electrons can change their
state.
Could it create anything we
imagine?
Could matter be its own
processor generating reality on
the fly?
Imagine the pixels on your TV
screen, or your phone being
their own processor, being their
own CPUs and not needing another
processor.
Imagine how fast that would be.
You'd have all the computing
power you would ever need.
Our knowledge of our out of SIM
selves could be suppressed, as
could be our ability to imagine
and create and explore and
build.
That may all be limited.
If we created a simulation,
would we want our Sims to be
able to create a simulation that
could create a simulation That
could create a simulation that
could create a simulation?
Is that something that we would
want?
Is that something?
Would that take up more power?
Would it even be possible?
Maybe this has all been thought
of already and determined it's
bullshit.
I I don't know.
I'm not that smart of a guy.
Who is that smart of a guy
though, is my next guest.
Noah Healy is a market designer
and game theorist working on
better economic systems.
After training in nuclear
engineering, he worked for
techstartupsinthe.com Boom.
Becoming fascinated by the
mathematics of information and
computation led him to patent
work on a better commodity
market design.
That's what we've got coming up
right now.
Sit back and enjoy the interview
with Noah Healy.
That starts right now.
So it's my pleasure to introduce
this week's guest Noah Healy.
If you would just want to tell
us a little bit about yourself
and we'll just jump right into
it.
Sure.
Thanks Kurt.
So you got my name already.
I was born and raised here in
Charlottesville, VA went to UVA
and been working in computers
for the last quarter ish of a
century.
And also my hobby is
computational mathematics.
And about a decade ago, I
discovered a better way to do
price discovery for commodity
and some other financial
markets.
And so I've been working to get
economics upgraded that's and
that's something that
desperately needs to be upgraded
As as a business owner myself I
I know it's it's not well
prepared right at the moment but
with your background in in
computer sciences and all that
the there is discussion that we
may be living in a simulation.
It's been it was virtually made
popular in 2003 and with the the
theory is that one of three
possibilities has to be correct.
Either all civilizations that
that could possibly be in the
universe will gain the
technology to create
simulations, or some will but
won't.
Or we are already living in a
simulation?
With your background in computer
sciences and and programming in
mathematics, what do you do?
You see any possibility that
that could be true, that we are,
are, or could be living in a
simulation?
Well, the fun thing is that we
have to get into a little bit of
of what we mean by living a
simulation.
So the the model that.
Your individual experience as a
result of the computation being
carried out by a civilization
that's that's simulated you in
order to carry out one of these
strategic brain problems, for
example, that's one version of
living the simulation.
Another version of living the
simulation is that the universe
is operating off of
computational principles and.
There's an intelligence that
that essentially wrote the
program that is operating the
universe, and so in that
scenario, which could be
analogous to the first one, but
this would be another kind of
living and simulation.
Here's where computational
mathematics makes things really
fun.
If we observe our universe and
sort of how many particles that
are in it and so on.
We get this sort of free
entropy.
So there's so many particles,
there's essentially about two to
the 300 particles in our
universe, which means that if
you were to sort of examine the
entire universe on average
there, there would be.
Every single combination of coin
flips that are possible over
that over that frame.
So.
So if if every particle that was
in the universe were to flip a
coin, and they were all to be
subdivided into groups of 301 of
those groups would all flip
heads, and one of those groups
would all flip tails.
And one of those groups, when
you line them up in one
particular order, would have one
particular order of heads and
tails and.
For every order of heads and
tails that you could possibly
want, those computational
systems that Turing talked about
they're quite small.
And Stephen Wolfram, if you're
familiar with Wolfram Alpha,
that's that's his baby.
He also was the company that
created Mathematica.
He is.
He's pursuing and attempting to
promulgate the hypothesis that.
The the physics of our universe
is based off of computation,
that our entire universe is
actually just a computer.
He has, he he he offered a
bounty and a proof was made that
a system that he found that's
definable, and I think 28 bits
is computationally complete.
It's capable of that thing
Turing talked about, so.
The free entropy of our universe
is 10 times the size required to
create a computational system,
which means that, based on what
we know about mathematics, the
entire universe as a program on
a computer.
The entire universe as a purely
random accident, and the entire
universe as a conscious creation
through a word in that
interpreter sense I was talking
about before, are all, to a
great extent logically
equivalent with one another.
So it's not that.
It could be one that you know or
the other.
Or it's that all three of these
things could be simultaneously
true, and depending on which
sort of philosophical point of
view you decided to take on it,
you could you could convince
yourself that that was the only
possible truth, so that that's
the limit of what we can see.
Basically, we're the.
The lower bound for the universe
being able to be a self created
simulation or whatever is
exceeded by the amount of random
chance that we observe being
available.
Does that make sense?
So in a way, yeah, my my thought
to that was always that we are
basing the computational power
that would be created be needed
to create a universe, a reality
such as our own on our own
knowledge of computational power
and structure.
Well, so let me blow your mind
with something.
Oh, OK, I'm ready for this.
There's there's there's an
incomputable sequence called the
Busy Beaver numbers.
And this sequence grows faster
than any sequence that you can
imagine.
And it doesn't start off all
that fast.
So the way the busy Beaver
numbers work is you use Turing
machine.
Use that Turing machine thing
that Turing came up with.
It's a binary machine.
It can only draw a mark or erase
a mark.
And it's not the full Turing
power machine.
It's got a finite number of
states.
That has nothing pre, It has no
preloaded tape, but it does have
access to an infinite tape.
And so the question is, given a
certain number of states, how
many how much of the tape can it
mark up and then stop?
And for one state the answer is
one and for two states the
answer is 3.
We we used to think, I think
it's four states.
We used to think that we knew
what four states was and it was
in the hundreds.
But then somebody found a way to
do 4096 and we're not so
confident that that's actually
what four states is anymore.
For five states, the number is
at least a number that.
So 10 to the 1010 billion, 10 to
that power would be a one with
10 billion zeros after it.
Like 15 of those.
Wow.
Wow.
In five states.
In five states.
In five, yeah.
And the fun fact is that no
matter what you're thinking of
in terms of big numbers, if
you've heard of things like
grams number or the tree numbers
or birds.
You know, whatever, whatever big
number stuff you've heard about
where there's some way to make
really, really big numbers
really, really quickly out of
really, really small numbers.
Not even close.
Not even close to close.
Because as soon as there's
enough states in the touring
machine to describe whatever
that process that you can think
about is, that becomes the lower
bound of how many, how much that
can do.
Because it can do that, at
least.
So this is.
Whatever the most capable thing
is at each level, and the growth
rate of that curve is literally
faster than we can imagine.
And that's why with access to
around 300 bits, it may well be
possible for from a BZ Beaver
perspective for a system to
demonstrate a degree of
complexity.
That's beyond our imagination.
There's there's, we don't know,
we don't know what those busy
Beavers from, you know, for and
up are.
We know that there's an upper
limit of busy Beaver numbers
that we could ever know, and we
don't know where that limit is.
And that's one of the things
that's incomputable.
So we know there's a limit, we
just could never figure out what
that limit is.
Yes.
Is that one of those
unimaginable imagination things
you were talking about?
Exactly.
It's something we just could
never imagine.
We Yes, that's crazy.
We can make words that make us
think that we're thinking about
it, but we literally can't think
about it because that's
impossible.
That's Okay.
Yeah.
That's the kind of stuff I like,
right?
You can't.
If you can't even imagine
imagining the imagination, then
it's it's out there pretty far.
Well, and that's that's if you
play around in computational
mathematics, you play in a world
where that is a frequent
companion.
And as you've just experienced,
it's it's a lot of fun.
And so you're you're saying a
number with more zeros then
there are probably stars in the
universe.
Oh, well, that.
Like I said, at at 5, you're
already well past that, that
limit.
Well, past that five.
Wow.
Yes.
So yeah, we're.
Yeah, that's.
That's.
And you can never even imagine
that number of stars in one
Galaxy, much less, you know, in
our night sky, much less a
Galaxy or all the galaxies.
And then that's minuscule
compared to the lower limit that
we know of right now.
Right, exactly.
And and these kinds of things
just pop up all over the place.
The BZ Beaver numbers actually
aren't even the fastest growing
incomputable sequence we're
aware of.
And then there's ideas about
oracles where you introduce, you
introduce the unimaginable.
So I'd said that you know this.
This debugging software is
impossible.
So we could assume an Oracle.
We say, well, what if it was
possible?
What if we had this thing that
just told us what the answer
was?
Well, because of the structure
of the argument about why these
things are impossible, that
thing, that thing that could do
all the things that we can't do,
would have a set of things that
it couldn't do that would be on
the far side of its
impossibility.
So a few months ago I was.
Thinking through how you could
demonstrate an Oracle with busy
Beavers and how you could
sequence out oracles by
introducing marks on the tape
basically for the Oracle so that
it knew what the boundaries were
so that you could just go to
where those boundaries were and
how.
How then?
The relationship between the
functions at different levels.
So not necessarily the numbers
of oracular busy Beavers, but
the kinds of functions that
would be possible at different
levels.
That was fun.
Did you get anywhere with it?
For the first few, like I said,
we don't really know much about
the 4th and higher Busy Beaver
numbers, but.
I did have a few thoughts on a
couple of different approaches
to allow for different kinds of
streams and conceiving of hyper
infinite sequences of those
sorts of things.
And so you could you could
create what I call the Hyper
Busy Beaver numbers which is
sort of a diagonal saying limit
point of Oracular Busy Beavers.
For creating deeply unimaginable
things.
But I can't.
I can't attach any reality to
that.
So it's more just an intriguing
speculation.
You were just talking about
debugging and as I was looking
researching into simulation
theory, one of the things I
found which was kind of mind
blowing.
Professor James Gates from MIT
was investigating the equations
that define string theory.
And the further he got into
looking at these equations and I
I'm not sure how he was doing
it.
He was looking at like like
fractals based off of these
equations or something that I I
I kind of like glossed over
pretty quickly today.
But he was finding code, the
computer code in these equations
that that weren't put there by
the, you know, the people who
wrote the equations.
But however he found it, but
what he found out that they were
was they were checksum codes
that are written kind of hard
coded into the equations of the
definitions of string theory.
And I found this by it was by
accident.
It was a feed that popped up and
it was Neil deGrasse Tyson
talking to him and he's he's
kind of questioned him like, you
mean you're finding computer
code in these equations.
And I kind of thought it was one
of these deep fake things until
I actually looked it up and
found out that yeah, he's,
they're finding debugging codes
in theories, in in the
equations, when you look at them
as as an image or as a fractal.
Have you heard anything about
that?
I mean, is that something?
So I have.
I've not seen that I've seen.
Some studies examining
high-powered cosmic rays and the
the scattering structure of
extremely high-powered cosmic
rays and they break down
supposedly into structures that
imply and this is one of the
things Stephen Wolfram tries to
bring out to bolster his his
theories that imply a.
A substructure, A computational
substructure to the universe in
terms of the the the equations
of string theory.
One of the issues with string
theory is that the high
dimensional mathematics of use
there.
Is known to be underspecified.
So sort of the the thing that
got string theory sort of
excited in the 1st place was
they had this.
They had this mathematical
formalism that math did a lot of
work on and they knew was true.
And when you plugged the, the.
What was known about quantum
physics into it?
Certain values that weren't
predicted.
Parts of the theory dropped out
of the equations, and so that
was very exciting, the notion
that these mathematical forms in
Group theory might be being
reflected in the physical
universe that we adopt.
However, replicating what's
known isn't really the mark of a
functioning theory.
Creating new predictions is.
And so the string theorists
pooped out a bunch of
predictions, and then they went
off and started measuring them.
And they didn't get them right,
but they took the numbers that
came in and plug those into the
system and we're like, oh, look,
they fit perfectly in with the
system and they make all these
new predictions.
Well, those didn't work either,
but those new numbers also fit
perfectly within the system.
And ultimately it was discovered
that with the number of
dimensions that they had
involved, anything fit perfectly
within the system.
There was just enough
flexibility to cope with
whatever you did.
So topologically, higher
dimensions start becoming very
boring very quickly in many
cases because there's so much
freedom that sort of all the
structures are the same.
So as an example for everyone
who's ever tied their shoelaces,
that is something that you can
essentially only accomplish in
three-dimensional space if you
have, If you have lines in four
dimensional space, there's sort
of two different directions.
So just like if you have stuff
that's sort of stuck on the
floor and it can't pass each
other because you know they're
stuck on the floor and they
can't get over each other.
But if we've got 3 dimensions,
we can lift one over and one
under and tie ourselves knots.
In 4 dimensions, we would have
one more direction other than
under and over.
And so even after tying a knot,
we would be able to move things
out in that 4th dimension so
that they weren't engage with
each other anymore and just undo
them.
And we would always be able to
undo them under the
circumstances and the the base
string theory was a six
dimensional space.
And it turns out that in that
space there was just so much
room that no matter what the
theorists or what the the
measurement guys, the
experimentalists came up with,
you'd be able to plug it in and
get a viable coherent set of
numbers that would make a new
set of predictions.
And since the predictions kept
not coming up, they kept not
coming up.
So he might be operating in good
faith, and that might be there
for that to be for a string
theory thing to be interesting,
those those checksum codes would
have to have some kind of
practical, measurable reality
before before I care much about
it.
But I don't know if he's
actually looking at the the what
the equations actually do, but
just the equations themselves.
I don't know if it's
particularly just because it's
string theory.
That's the equations he was
looking at.
It's it was just to me it seemed
like he had found he even said
in his when he said he goes
there's we don't even understand
what we're looking at with this.
Well, it seemed it was more,
yeah, more than the occasions.
But not less of the less of the
answer the equation and more the
equation itself.
Well, another point would be
that because math is all
connected, computation equals
computation, and so string
theory, like I said, is based
off of a very advanced piece of
work in Group theory.
And I would be unsurprised if it
turned out that some of these
group structures turned out to
be Turing complete and
computational systems in and of
themselves, because addition
plus multiplication is Turing
complete over the integers, for
example.
Right.
So like you're saying, with with
in string theory, just because
he found these checksums, he
could have looked at it as
anything and it probably would
have fit because there's so much
freedom in it.
That might well be what's going
on and I'd have to, I'd have to
investigate before.
That wouldn't be my default
assumption, but like I said,
I've seen, I've seen
astrophysics papers where they
were looking at the the
scattering structure of and
discovering slight errors in
something called antiotrophy.
So antiotrophy is essentially
the theory that the universe
doesn't have a direction.
So no matter what way you're
facing, physics shouldn't be any
different.
You know, the laws of physics
shouldn't change whether I'm
looking West or north, right?
Well, maybe that's an assumption
that's that.
That assumption is antiotropy.
So when you look at incredibly
high-powered particles, we
actually should expect them to
come from specific directions
because for example, there's a
lot of matter in the way inside
the galactic disc.
But on the other hand that's
also where a lot of the stars
that produce these things are.
And so we should be able to sort
of figure out what's going on
with with those directions and
figure out when extremely
high-powered gamma rays and
other comic rays show up from
outer space.
They should, they should be
roughly coming according to the
probability of the kinds of
things that are in the direction
that we're looking at.
And they discovered that that's
not quite true, That there's
there seemed to be a rectilinear
ish bias where certain
directions were good and certain
other directions were bad,
irrespective of the actual
shielding.
Plus sourcing in in a given
direction, suggesting that there
could be some fundamentally
shaped structure of space that
made certain directions easier
to travel than others.
It's kind of like polarizing
solarizing on a pair of glasses.
He looks one way and it's a
little brighter than another.
Something like that.
Or well, like the actual shape
or direction.
Let's say you're playing a video
game, right?
And you've got it's old school,
it's pixels.
So you've got the old like pad
that's only got 4 directions on
it.
You can move side to side, you
can move up and down, You can't
move diagonally very well, and
even if they were sharp enough
to make the diagonal moving
work, you can't move slightly
diagonally very well.
You know you don't have full
360.
The the the sensors on the pad
only give you 8 or 16 or 32
directions.
They don't give you an infinite
number of directions.
And so if you were to assume
that Link or Mario or or one of
these characters had full 360
degree movement and track their
track their motions, you'd say,
well, this is weird.
You know Mario World should be
antiotropic, right?
That's how physics is supposed
to work.
But somehow Mario only ever
travels in one of 128 different
directions and never travels in
any other directions.
What's up with that?
Well, Mario exists on this grid
that has certain animation
things that make traveling in
those directions easy and make
traveling in the directions
impossible.
Now it's not quite as harsh as
that with what they were
discovering, but that's.
But it's, yeah, Okay.
So it's the.
Yes, it's similar to that kind.
Of way it can only move up and
over.
Right.
Yes.
Yes.
Yeah, cosmic rays traveling in
certain directions look like
that's easy to do, and in other
directions that are close that
but which might have some kind
of grain to them at galactic and
intergalactic scales don't seem
to show up.
So it's the the pixelated
universe that's that's what
they're coming up with, yes?
That's pretty well.
So yeah, that's wow, that's the
first time I've heard that.
That's pretty, that's pretty
incredible.
I did.
I don't have the information
here, but like the double slit
experiment, there was a group
that was doing it with, I think
they were using single
molecules.
I think they're sending through
and they start to realize that
they would act one way when
observed and another way when
not observed.
But in order for that to happen
they would have had to change
their state before they left
where they sent them from.
And they couldn't figure out how
the single molecules were had
the intelligence behind them to
change their state to know that
they're observed.
Well, that's the that's the
basic problem of quantum physics
is that we have these equations
that make predictions that when
we measure things, they the see
predictions, you know, are
correct basically.
But the mechanism there are
there are a pretty large number.
I think I'm aware of about half
a dozen interpretations.
None of those interpretations
are particularly sensible from
our sort of colloquial world.
I remember a cousin's child was
asking me some questions and I
was telling you about electrons
and and he asked me how big they
are and I said well,
theoretically and as we
generally accept they they're
sizeless, they have no dimension
whatsoever.
And he said that doesn't make
any sense and I said that is
correct.
You got it.
That's right.
That's right.
Yeah, it does not make any
sense.
It exists, but it doesn't exist.
It's it's not we.
Well, it exists that that might
be.
It's the best we can do.
This explanation that we know
doesn't make sense, but it does
make predictions, and it makes
predictions pretty accurately.
The simulation thing is probably
not what you're excited about
talking, but I appreciate you
humoring me on that and giving
me some information that I will
probably keep me awake tonight.
Research.
Yeah, sure.
Well, I mean, there's a lot of
different avenues.
The one that I actually find
more interesting, and something
that I've devote some brain
power to every once in a while,
is that multiplication is known
to be more difficult than
addition.
It's not as much more difficult
as it used to be.
In the 20th century, we
developed a handful of much more
efficient multiplication
algorithms, but we're pretty
sure that we know exactly how
hard it is to multiply things,
and we're pretty sure we know
exactly how hard it is to add
things.
But if you're familiar with
Euclid's Elements in the
Euclidian plane geometry, it's
easier to multiply things in
Euclidean geometry than our
current belief about the easiest
way to multiply things, so I'm
not sure why that is.
There seems to be a link between
Euclidean geometry and all other
forms of math through things
like the Cartesian plane.
But there are certain things
about the abstraction of the
Euclidean plane that we
understand to be impossible to
physically realize.
And so are those physical
impossibilities incorporated
into our algebraic and
computational understandings in
ways that we aren't quite clear
on that account for the
difference?
Or is the Euclidean plane itself
an imaginary abstraction that
doesn't really exist because it
implies the ability to do things
that can't really be done?
So perception is everything we
think.
There, that's impossible.
So therefore it is.
Therefore, it is more like we we
believe things are possible that
are actually impossible.
And so we do these things in
spite of the fact that they
don't work.
So think about, you know,
medicine.
Medicines existed among humans
since time immemorial and and
there's been things that people
have been able to do that are
helpful.
Setting bones is something we
can find archaeological evidence
for.
That's, you know, basically
contemporaneous with like fire
and stuff like that.
But we happen to know that the
scientific revolution finally
hitting medicine in the late 18
early 1900s essentially lifted
doctors out of the state of
killing as many patients as they
helped to to modern medicine,
where people actually got better
as a result of the interventions
that were being done because
we'd actually learned something.
But the doctors of, you know,
George the Third didn't know
that they were killing their
patient, and nobody else knew
that either, because they
weren't executed for murdering a
king after they did it.
So.
So people thought that medicine
existed and that people could do
it and they were wrong and and
as a result, lots of people got
killed.
Who would have gotten better if
they'd been left completely
alone and and much worse than
that?
There were helpful things that
they did know how to do.
And if they'd restricted
themselves strictly to the
helpful things that they knew
how to do, then they they would
have been able to do benefits
even even, you know, centuries
or millennia ago, right?
So if people are deluded into
believing that the impossible is
possible, and they build their
lifestyles and societies around
falsehoods, then we do enormous
amounts of damage to ourselves
and so discovering where these
limits are and these intuitions
about reality.
Like nobody, nobody thought
relativity or quantum physics is
obvious.
But without access to that
information, we wouldn't be able
to make GPS work.
Because quantum physics is
actually necessary to designing
the chips and systems that go
into the satellites.
And relativity is necessary to
time the clocks that are in the
satellites because they actually
don't move at the same speed as
clocks on the ground because of
how fast they're going in orbit.
And so breaking down our
intuitions and and discovering
actual reality is I think
something that that has a lot of
value and also a lot of room to
run.
There's a lot of things that we
we thought were true that got
disproven by Alan Turing in in
the 30s.
Like I said, the the progress of
multiplication.
One of the the top computational
mathematicians of the 20th
century decided to look into
multiplication and he decided
that the way that we teach kids
how to do it.
If you remember the, you know,
wedding cake edition thing for
multidigit multiplication, he
played around and decided that
was as good as you could do.
And the story I've read
suggested he worked on it for a
few months.
So he went to a a conference, he
was a, he was a Soviet, a
Russian.
So he goes to a conference, well
regarded and gives a lecture and
says, you know, I looked at this
and you know that's this is just
it, it's it's a quadratic
problem.
It's it's basically as difficult
as the square of the number
digits in the in the numbers.
And he was contacted, I think
about a week later by a guy
named Karatsuba who was a
teenager at the time, and
Karatsuba had discovered an
algebraic technique that'll that
reduced it from a quadratic
problem to a 1.5 exponent.
So you cube the numbers and then
take the square root, is how
hard the Karatsuba approach was.
And, you know, he's one of the,
one of the top minds of the 20th
century was convinced enough by
his own experience.
He didn't know for sure, but he
was like, yeah, that's that's
the line.
That's just how bad it is.
And you know, some some kid in a
week, it didn't redefine, yeah.
Played around was like, oh, how
about this?
Yeah.
And and now we actually have a
proof about, you know, how hard
we presently think it is.
And that algorithm has been
implemented.
Your computer doesn't use it
because the perfect algorithm is
faster than the thing your
computer uses after the size of
the numbers is larger than your
computer can reasonably have in
it.
So.
So, so we don't get a lot of
value out of the perfect
multiplication algorithm.
But but still, that proof exists
and it's contradicted by
Euclidean multiplication, which
was, you know, explained to
school boys for a few thousand
years.
What's up with that?
That I couldn't tell you.
You'd know more about that than
I would.
That I'm not.
I'm not as recreational.
I'm not recreational
mathematician.
I I hike that that doesn't solve
a lot of equations.
Yeah, yeah.
Well, that's good too.
Yeah, it's a different kind of
problem solving for me to get
out there and hike.
Sure.
I saw that you do have a
podcast.
Are you are you still doing
that?
The the yes.
Yes, I am.
It's called the 4th Age, the AI
Revolution.
A guy named Marty Weiner, who's
the retired CTO of Reddit, and I
are talking about AI and how
computational technology is is
wiping out our existing
societies and what we might be
able to do or really ought to be
doing to build societies in
their stead.
If you come up, write any books
or anything that definitely let
me know.
I'd love to read it.
I'm not going to pretend to
understand it, but read it and
maybe even have you back on.
OK, good deal. minute to thank
no again for joining me for that
conversation.
I'm sure might befuddled look
through a lot of that was the
entertainment value was probably
enough to make his week.
The next part of the interview
where he goes into his economic
systems and all that, it's I
thought I had enough of a tech
background to keep up with what
he was talking about.
I there's parts in this
interview where I look like a
rabbit trying to figure out how
to reassemble a helicopter.
It's it's fascinating stuff.
I know what he's saying.
But my old noggin's taking too
many knocks.
I think I was having a hard time
keeping up.
It really is fascinating stuff
and it's the kind of thing I
want to expand into.
Maybe not that all the time, but
different points of view,
different things.
What I'm going for with
primitive intelligence, I hope
you guys really enjoyed that.
Next week is going to blow your
mind with some of the stuff that
he talked about.
I really feel bad because I only
had like 24 hours, less than 24
hours to to research anything
that I thought he might talk
about.
That happened really quick, and
I was way unprepared.
So I'm going to try not to do
that again in my next
interviews.
Again, Noah, thank you very much
for your time.
I appreciated it.
It was a lot of fun talking to
you.
And next week will be the rest
of that interview.
And until then, think about
things that you've seen that may
not be real.
Think about what you've
experienced in life that may
indicate that we live in a
simulation.
I've got a question for you.
Have you ever had this happen?
I This happens to me pretty
calmly and it drives me nuts,
either driving down the road or
being a passenger in the car and
you just kind of looking like
looking out the window and you
see someone walking and you just
kind of look at him.
And now I kind of do it on
purpose to see if I can actually
see the person.
But you see them walking, and as
you're about to see their face,
like a signpost just kind of
blocks your view.
And then as a signpost, they
cleared A signpost.
There's a tree.
And then as the tree goes by,
there's like a kid with a
balloon that blocks her face.
And then you turn a corner and
don't see them.
It happens a lot.
It's like, it's like the
universe was like, oh, you
weren't.
That one wasn't rendered.
You weren't supposed to see that
one yet.
And sometimes it's like like
stopping the car and hopping out
and running around the corner
and looking at them.
Are you real?
Are you a real person?
I I don't do it though, because
I don't want to get locked up.
But yeah.
Have you ever had that happen?
Let me know that's going to do
it for this episode, The
Primitive Intelligence Podcast.
Thank you for staying tuned for
this extended version.
I know there's a lot of
information in there, and I hope
you enjoyed it.
I'll see you in the episode 506.
See
No.
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